The Middle Eastern chessboard
While the whole world is curious about the general
picture of the expected retaliation, Turkey has been pondering the second
part of the operation that is to be conducted against Afghanistan. The
main problem concerns how Turkey will cope with the conflict -- if it
spreads through the Mideast. Ankara has devised three strategies to
prevent armed conflict from spreading through the region.
The first plans to lend support in the technical,
political and intelligence fields during the operation against Afghanistan
-- so as to enhance its influence in the process and to gain more say
during the second chapter of the series.
The second aims to have an active stance in the
Israel-Palestine peace process in order to keep conflicts localized.
Determining the limits of the operation when it comes
to Iraq composes the third.
The Middle East is of importance for Turkey for two
reasons -- the unavoidable spread of the operations to the region and the
fact that Turkey wants to have a leading role in operations that are to
take place.
That is why the Foreign Ministry keeps reminding its
Western friends that "terrorism has no religion" while it is in fact
trying to gain the support of Muslim countries existing in the region.
Trying to prevent an Israeli-Palestinian conflict has
the aim of keeping religion out of regional escalations and localizing
those escalations as much as possible.
The only problem left to deal with then is that of
Iraq. Despite the fact that its name is never mentioned, Turkey has
determined its stance in a possible operation to be directed against Iraq
quite clearly. As Foreign Minister Ismail Cem said: "Turkey believes in
the necessity of fighting terrorism without making any distinctions of
nation and geography. Turkey has revealed what it is capable of doing, and
will surely do what it says."
This means Turkey will be on the U.S. front in an
operation directed against Iraq. Most of all, "it will be carrying out its
responsibilities without missing anything."
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